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Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?

2.3¢Updated

How this market resolves

Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. This market will resolve as soon as final (i.e., not studio estimates) figures for both movies' 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are available, and no later than January 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. For each movie, the primary resolution source is the opening weekend figure in the "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the "Box Office" tab of that movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure for a movie by January 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, that movie's "Weekend" figure for its first weekend on the "Domestic Weekend" tab of its Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page will be used. If neither source has a final figure for a movie by January 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, that movie's figure will be the one The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the one Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure for either movie by January 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve according to the figures for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized. If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

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