PoliticsOpen

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

3 outcomes we publish for this Politics event on Polymarket, 2 of them already settled. Each one settles on its own rules.

Outcomes(2 settled)

24h volume

$556

Total volume

$5.57M

Liquidity

$68.1k

Outcome prices

Last 7 days

By 24-hour volume · prices updated Oct 30, 2026, 23:47 UTC

By position value · updated Oct 30, 2026, 23:47 UTC

#TraderBiggest positionPosition valuePnL30d volume

1kevtp0xdc4b…dbcaDecember 31, 2026 · No$62.1k+$1.6k$28.5k

2gorovi0x1de9…831dDecember 31, 2026 · No$30.9k+$2.2k—

3keribit0xc9dc…9026December 31, 2026 · No$28.6k+$4.1k—

40xe120…283eDecember 31, 2026 · No$26.9k+$322$7.7k

5whig0x40cf…d21dDecember 31, 2026 · No$19.1k+$450—

6DFK0x0dde…94c3December 31, 2026 · No$10.1k+$4.4k$40.7k

7tetrase0xdf17…97d1December 31, 2026 · No$7.5k+$177$39

8xset0x431d…8fdeDecember 31, 2026 · No$6.4k+$106$1.7k

9Arashi95270x2567…e51dDecember 31, 2026 · No$6.0k−$31$6.0k

10Aq4ExePrd22Jn0x0cba…92d3December 31, 2026 · No$5.7k+$201—

$1,000 or more, last 7 days

WhenTraderOutcomeSideAmountPrice10m move

Oct 27, 2026, 08:38 UTCDFK0x0dde…94c3December 31, 2026 · NoSELL$14,155.0095.0¢+1¢

Oct 27, 2026, 06:37 UTCDFK0x0dde…94c3December 31, 2026 · NoSELL$4,940.0095.0¢0¢

Oct 24, 2026, 15:57 UTCArashi95270x2567…e51dDecember 31, 2026 · NoBUY$6,000.0096.0¢−1¢