PoliticsOpenEnds 2027-01-01

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

1 outcome we publish for this Politics event on Polymarket. Each one settles on its own rules.

Outcomes

24h volume

$101k

Total volume

$44.6M

Liquidity

$480k

Outcomes

By 24-hour volume · prices updated Oct 22, 2026, 11:46 UTC

By position value · updated Oct 22, 2026, 11:46 UTC

#TraderBiggest positionPosition valuePnL30d volume

1Avamax0xc97b…47e5No$468k+$17.2k$179k

2Anjun0x4337…8882No$427k+$23.9k$214k

40xb9d8…275aNo$382k+$40.3k—

5llh0x8349…c99dNo$317k+$23.0k$4.8k

70x8b4b…541bNo$209k+$5.7k$3.6k

10sheen070x60c1…f605No$133k+$4.2k$15.5k

$1,000 or more, last 7 days

WhenTraderOutcomeSideAmountPrice10m move

Oct 22, 2026, 09:06 UTC0x8b4b…541bNoSELL$2,087.7297.9¢0¢

Oct 21, 2026, 10:57 UTC0xb9f8…6f4fNoBUY$1,215.0297.8¢0¢

Oct 20, 2026, 23:12 UTC0x6713…0d2bNoBUY$3,145.4897.9¢0¢

Oct 20, 2026, 15:27 UTCrandomgo0x51df…458fNoSELL$51,991.3097.8¢0¢

Oct 20, 2026, 07:36 UTC-0-0x0eee…4c52NoSELL$3,201.2197.9¢0¢

Oct 20, 2026, 07:34 UTC0x2dda…3f76NoBUY$1,389.2098.0¢0¢

Oct 20, 2026, 07:01 UTCAvamax0xc97b…47e5NoBUY$2,080.8497.9¢0¢

Oct 20, 2026, 03:22 UTClion4490x6d8c…99f6NoSELL$5,030.6997.8¢0¢

Oct 20, 2026, 02:15 UTCalwaysOn0xc550…272dNoSELL$1,630.0897.9¢0¢

Oct 20, 2026, 01:32 UTCAvamax0xc97b…47e5NoBUY$1,660.3497.9¢0¢