PoliticsOpenEnds 2026-11-04

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

4 outcomes we publish for this Politics event on Polymarket. Each one settles on its own rules.

Outcomes

24h volume

$18.4k

Total volume

$115k

Liquidity

$1.19M

Outcome prices

Last 7 days

By 24-hour volume · prices updated Oct 15, 2026, 22:15 UTC

By position value · updated Oct 15, 2026, 22:15 UTC

#TraderBiggest positionPosition valuePnL30d volume

1laureman0x1359…092eAgreement + Oil < $80; D Senate · No$16.0k+$41$20.6k

2BunCaCham0x996a…e3ccAgreement + Oil < $80; D Senate · No$6.5k+$7.24$10.7k

3paddaa0x60a9…5a71No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate · No$4.7k+$231$7.6k

4prodset0x4d57…8620Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate · No$3.2k+$3.26$3.0k

5Sponsinator0x4fd5…c313Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate · No$1.6k−$5.60$1.6k

6Detbet0x8cb7…66e3Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate · No$1.2k−$1.20$1.2k

7TronOG0x77c3…00c8Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate · No$1.1k−$2.41$1.1k

8lissartter0x1cfc…2111No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate · Yes$1.0k−$87$1.1k

9puravida0x80a4…22ccNo Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate · Yes$888−$19$1.5k

10Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate · No$758+$0.77$3.9k

$1,000 or more, last 7 days

WhenTraderOutcomeSideAmountPrice10m move

Oct 13, 2026, 21:50 UTClaureman0x1359…092eAgreement + Oil < $80; R Senate · NoBUY$3,461.7997.2¢0¢

Oct 13, 2026, 21:49 UTClaureman0x1359…092eAgreement + Oil < $80; D Senate · NoBUY$1,928.0096.4¢0¢

Oct 13, 2026, 09:06 UTClaureman0x1359…092eAgreement + Oil < $80; R Senate · NoBUY$1,652.4097.2¢0¢

Oct 13, 2026, 09:05 UTClaureman0x1359…092eAgreement + Oil < $80; D Senate · NoBUY$2,895.0096.5¢0¢

Oct 13, 2026, 08:03 UTCQuandal0x9797…c193Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate · NoSELL$3,601.5096.4¢0¢

Oct 13, 2026, 03:29 UTCBunCaCham0x996a…e3ccAgreement + Oil < $80; R Senate · NoSELL$1,172.4797.3¢0¢

Oct 12, 2026, 20:51 UTCpaddaa0x60a9…5a71No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate · NoBUY$6,000.0065.2¢—

Oct 12, 2026, 20:50 UTCchessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate · NoSELL$1,263.6097.2¢0¢