PoliticsOpenEnds 2026-11-04

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

3 outcomes we publish for this Politics event on Polymarket. Each one settles on its own rules.

Outcomes

24h volume

$474k

Total volume

$656k

Liquidity

$763k

Outcome prices

Last 7 days

By 24-hour volume · prices updated Oct 16, 2026, 05:51 UTC

By position value · updated Oct 16, 2026, 05:51 UTC

#TraderBiggest positionPosition valuePnL30d volume

1timmythewhale0x6000…f302Hormuz Agreement; D Senate · No$72.9k+$928$71.9k

2V1nch0u0xf0f8…325fNo Hormuz Agreement · Yes$20.6k+$1.3k$19.2k

3pakukudolphi0x88e2…7489No Hormuz Agreement · Yes$16.2k+$1.5k$14.7k

4poli.monaco0xf767…61dfNo Hormuz Agreement · Yes$9.5k+$1.0k$8.5k

5ULYSSES180x9ef5…5d4fNo Hormuz Agreement · Yes$8.3k+$1.3k$30.5k

60x91c3…409fNo Hormuz Agreement · Yes$7.9k+$371—

7Car0x7c3d…5c6bNo Hormuz Agreement · Yes$7.6k−$1.2k$17.7k

8classified0x12d6…f2a8Hormuz Agreement; R Senate · No$7.2k+$63$55.1k

9whig0x40cf…d21dNo Hormuz Agreement · Yes$4.9k+$479$9.6k

10lissartter0x1cfc…2111Hormuz Agreement; R Senate · No$3.0k+$5.39$3.0k

$1,000 or more, last 7 days

WhenTraderOutcomeSideAmountPrice10m move

Oct 15, 2026, 20:30 UTCclassified0x12d6…f2a8No Hormuz Agreement · YesSELL$1,040.9194.2¢0¢

Oct 15, 2026, 18:00 UTCclassified0x12d6…f2a8Hormuz Agreement; R Senate · NoBUY$10,287.9096.5¢0¢

Oct 15, 2026, 17:39 UTCtimmythewhale0x6000…f302Hormuz Agreement; R Senate · NoBUY$22,157.8797.0¢−1¢

Oct 15, 2026, 17:31 UTCclassified0x12d6…f2a8Hormuz Agreement; D Senate · NoSELL$1,537.7996.9¢0¢

Oct 15, 2026, 16:54 UTCCar0x7c3d…5c6bNo Hormuz Agreement · YesBUY$3,823.0492.4¢+1¢

Oct 15, 2026, 16:41 UTCLolakis0x401e…6fc9Hormuz Agreement; D Senate · YesSELL$1,323.874.3¢−1¢

Oct 15, 2026, 16:40 UTCtimmythewhale0x6000…f302Hormuz Agreement; R Senate · NoBUY$1,912.0095.6¢0¢

Oct 15, 2026, 16:39 UTCtimmythewhale0x6000…f302Hormuz Agreement; D Senate · NoBUY$47,775.8595.6¢+1¢

Oct 15, 2026, 15:30 UTC0xbc00…75a7No Hormuz Agreement · YesBUY$6,971.8890.4¢0¢

Oct 15, 2026, 15:26 UTCV1nch0u0xf0f8…325fNo Hormuz Agreement · YesBUY$2,955.1590.4¢0¢