GeopoliticsOpenEnds 2027-01-01

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

16 outcomes we publish for this Geopolitics event on Polymarket. Each one settles on its own rules.

Outcomes

16

24h volume

$3.2k

Total volume

$945k

Liquidity

$407k

Outcome prices

Last 7 days

Venezuela
Lebanon
Saudi Arabia
Indonesia

Outcomes

By 24-hour volume · prices updated Oct 22, 2026, 20:24 UTC

Why prices may not sum to 100%

Top traders in this event

By position value · updated Oct 22, 2026, 20:24 UTC

#TraderBiggest positionPosition valuePnL30d volume

1tetrase0xdf17…97d1Venezuela · No$13.3k+$1.3k$7.4k

2devin.lawson.770x94d6…9ab8Saudi Arabia · No$10.4k+$679—

3LJa7io23MCv954j0x85a8…9281Lebanon · No$7.9k+$1.0k—

4FATMAN0xea83…5c8fSaudi Arabia · No$6.3k+$874—

5QMG-CORE0xcaab…24ddKuwait · No$5.8k+$183$1.2k

6prophet-spaces0x2dd2…d5d8Saudi Arabia · No$5.5k+$100$1.6k

7skibabiba0x79d9…baecVenezuela · No$5.3k$0.00—

8M2sx92kljs420xb4f2…e5faLebanon · No$4.8k+$863$863

9HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1eVenezuela · No$2.7k+$1.7k$292

100x8f69…2923Venezuela · No$2.6k+$1.3k$116

Large trades

$1,000 or more, last 7 days

WhenTraderOutcomeSideAmountPrice10m move

Oct 15, 2026, 21:21 UTCtetrase0xdf17…97d1Venezuela · NoBUY$2,189.9586.9¢+3¢