Markets
EconomyOpenEnds

US recession by end of 2026?

1 outcome we publish for this Economy event on Polymarket. Each one settles on its own rules.

Outcomes
1
24h volume
$2.9k
Total volume
$2.34M
Liquidity
$74.7k

Outcomes

By 24-hour volume · prices updated

Why prices may not sum to 100%

Top traders in this event

By position value · updated

#TraderBiggest positionPosition valuePnL30d volume
1tetrase0xdf17…97d1No$37.2k+$3.9k$33.1k
20xa0f2…1848Yes$32.3k−$25.3k$17.0k
3pmcb0xa569…96ecNo$23.8k+$3.4k$8.3k
4MaxPowell0x353c…2af5No$22.5k+$3.0k$5.4k
5baran-ludoman0xc0bf…2032No$22.1k+$4.2k—
6allen1110x269c…9017No$21.9k+$6.0k—
70x5b91…2709No$20.2k+$1.6k$1.8k
8QMG-CORE0xcaab…24ddNo$19.7k+$206$10.0k
9mazw80x7c30…7673No$19.1k+$2.0k$1.8k
10TBill10xd52b…5c72No$17.0k+$1.7k$1.6k

Large trades

$1,000 or more, last 7 days

WhenTraderOutcomeSideAmountPrice10m move
456ythgbvcadscvb0xeb6f…25f0NoSELL$1,482.0893.0¢−1¢
DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91NoSELL$4,897.1292.0¢0¢
0xbb930e4Bde6Ea07Ed2A996088aFcd0a3602e7383-17484671952570xbc27…d85eNoBUY$1,500.0094.0¢−1¢
vinii0x1ee9…197fNoSELL$1,248.6993.0¢−1¢
wish-0x72a2…7b65NoSELL$1,488.0093.0¢+1¢