PoliticsOpenEnds 2026-11-04

MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

8 outcomes we publish for this Politics event on Polymarket. Each one settles on its own rules.

Outcomes

8

24h volume

$546

Total volume

$12.6k

Liquidity

$111k

Outcome prices

Last 7 days

Republican 30-35%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 20-25%

Top traders in this event

By position value · updated Oct 22, 2026, 15:49 UTC

#TraderBiggest positionPosition valuePnL30d volume

10xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhl0x08b0…3f7cRepublican 30-35% · Yes$205+$115$457

2AJSV0xad53…ef24Republican 40-45% · Yes$119+$42$1.4k

3fkpa0x69d1…7c8bRepublican 35-40% · Yes$103+$22—

4e46m30x4f1d…8de2Democrat Wins · No$50+$16$34

5GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4Republican 35-40% · No$49−$5.95$118

6LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcfRepublican 40-45% · Yes$38+$6.75$77

7kSj39SJLtj0x0d7d…7d74Republican 40-45% · Yes$31+$2.65$221

8thanksforplayin0x38d8…ea7cRepublican 35-40% · Yes$30−$19$58

9Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71Republican 35-40% · Yes$23−$9.37$271

10aliiz0xbea0…e19dRepublican 40-45% · No$20+$3.09$49