GeopoliticsOpenEnds 2026-10-19

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12?

3 outcomes we publish for this Geopolitics event on Polymarket. Each one settles on its own rules.

Outcomes

3

24h volume

$2.0k

Total volume

$7.6k

Liquidity

$32.1k

Outcome prices

Last 7 days

<170
190-209
230+

Outcomes

By 24-hour volume · prices updated Oct 16, 2026, 02:55 UTC

Why prices may not sum to 100%

Top traders in this event

By position value · updated Oct 16, 2026, 02:55 UTC

#TraderBiggest positionPosition valuePnL30d volume

1bonalddrunk0x3089…92f6230+ · No$1.3k+$161$1.1k

2Ko-san-1230x8792…4174<170 · No$822+$2.66$820

3johnashbough0xef13…63d9230+ · No$400+$49$351

4shiifoo0x30f6…004f<170 · Yes$111−$61$307

5AJSV0xad53…ef24<170 · No$84−$60$828

6sunnynotbunny0x4d02…2ad3<170 · No$68+$7.65$60

7Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71<170 · No$66−$51$187

8Jnf170x802e…db63<170 · No$45+$10$63

90x8a2109803637C1902DF8C8baba39C1bD0dA7053e-17729939689500xafaa…3bb4190-209 · Yes$44+$4.13$40

10iamnotwhoiwas0x2035…dc1c<170 · No$42−$1.48$44