PoliticsOpenEnds 2026-11-04

AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory

6 outcomes we publish for this Politics event on Polymarket. Each one settles on its own rules.

Outcomes

6

24h volume

$210

Total volume

$15.3k

Liquidity

$82.9k

Outcome prices

Last 7 days

Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 0-15%
Republican 45-50%

Outcomes

By 24-hour volume · prices updated Oct 23, 2026, 23:06 UTC

Why prices may not sum to 100%

Top traders in this event

By position value · updated Oct 23, 2026, 23:06 UTC

#TraderBiggest positionPosition valuePnL30d volume

1fkpa0x69d1…7c8bRepublican 25-30% · Yes$176+$270$173

20xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhl0x08b0…3f7cRepublican 30-35% · Yes$133+$123$1.8k

3cigarettes0xd218…b5c9Republican 55%+ · No$110+$4.49—

4Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71Republican 30-35% · Yes$54−$2.94$413

5AJSV0xad53…ef24Republican 25-30% · Yes$42+$4.34$623

6UTILIZADOR20xba6c…618bRepublican 30-35% · No$38−$3.85—

7Carabao0x24bf…b12eRepublican 25-30% · No$33−$0.78$34

8LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcfRepublican 25-30% · No$20−$7.56$77

9GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4Republican 25-30% · No$19+$2.05$84

10sweetj0x39a5…87f2Republican 30-35% · Yes$17+$3.32—