Politics markets
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Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (0.2% Brackets) · Politics · resolved
<5
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026? · Politics · resolved
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
NY-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory · Politics · resolved
Mary Peltola
Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round? · Politics · resolved
CDU
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place · Politics · resolved
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026? · Politics · resolved
AfD 25%+
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory · Politics · resolved
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026? · Politics · resolved
<34
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats? · Politics · resolved
<40
Elon Musk # tweets August 29 - August 31, 2026? · Politics · resolved
Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?
Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Ngatangiia Winner · Politics · resolved
500+
Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026? · Politics · resolved
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026? · Politics · resolved
Trump out as President by August 31?
Trump out as President by August 31? · Politics · resolved
AfD
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner · Politics · resolved
320-339
Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026? · Politics · resolved
280-299
Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026? · Politics · resolved
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31? · Politics · resolved
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (0.2% Brackets) · Politics · resolved
Régis Gaudreault
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord By-Election Winner · Politics · resolved
<3%
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share? · Politics · resolved
Sen. Dan S. Sullivan
Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round? · Politics · resolved
80-99
Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026? · Politics · resolved
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Who will Trump meet with in August? · Politics · resolved
300-319
Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026? · Politics · resolved
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? · Politics · resolved
Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary? · Politics · resolved
260-279
Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026? · Politics · resolved
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?
NY-10 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory · Politics · resolved
Steve Witkoff
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31? · Politics · resolved