Politics markets
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Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%?
South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory · Politics · resolved
August 31
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...? · Politics · resolved
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? · Politics · resolved
September 30
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by...? · Politics · resolved
Flávio Bolsonaro
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place · Politics
Geraldo Alckmin
Brazil Presidential Election · Politics
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026? · Politics · resolved
Yair Lapid
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? · Politics
7%+
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share? · Politics · resolved
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 27 - August 29, 2026? · Politics · resolved
$10M
$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch? · Politics
Fatima Shaban
Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner · Politics · resolved
Brian Kemp
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · Politics
65-89
Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026? · Politics
<39%
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Vote Share? · Politics · resolved
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026? · Politics · resolved
100-119
Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026? · Politics
Matt Gaetz
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · Politics
Gretchen Whitmer
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Politics
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Politics
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday? · Politics · resolved
Magdalena Andersson
Next Prime Minister of Sweden · Politics
September 30
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...? · Politics
880-919
Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026? · Politics · resolved
115-139
Elon Musk # tweets September 5 - September 7, 2026? · Politics · resolved
Jordan Bardella
Next French Presidential Election · Politics
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026? · Politics · resolved
$25M
$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch? · Politics
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026? · Politics · resolved
Richard Neal
MA-01 Democratic Primary Winner · Politics · resolved